{"id":9923,"date":"2009-12-17T11:08:20","date_gmt":"2009-12-17T11:08:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.influx.co.uk\/wordpress\/?p=9923"},"modified":"2024-10-08T15:34:06","modified_gmt":"2024-10-08T14:34:06","slug":"cars-of-the-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.adrianflux.co.uk\/influx\/features\/cars-of-the-future\/","title":{"rendered":"Future Shock?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u201cI’d rather try crossing a river on a path of bobbing soap cakes than make predictions about the car of tomorrow. The footing would be far safer.\u201d So said Harley Earl, head of General Motor\u2019s famous \u2018Art and Colour\u2019 section and the man who created the first futuristic concept car, the sensational Buick Y-job of 1938. Earl had his ideas in an office called \u2018the hatchery\u2019 which had no windows or telephone and a fake name on the door so he wouldn\u2019t be disturbed. He worked there for over twenty years and did more than anyone else to stimulate our obsession with the car of the future.<\/p>\n

\"The
The Buick Y Job of 1938 not only had a silly name, but encapsulated an American vision of the future that was postponed only by the Nazis<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

But by the time he retired he plainly didn\u2019t think much of his \u2013 or anyone else\u2019s \u2013 ability to predict how cars would look or function in ten or twenty years\u2019 time. He was right: the history of the future of the car is littered with hopeless or plain embarrassing predictions. We can have a chuckle at Ford\u2019s mad fifties plans for a nuclear-powered runabout, but with the car currently undergoing its most radical transformation as we search for a replacement for the internal combustion engine, we\u2019d be wise to be neither too sceptical nor too credulous about what we might be driving in a decade\u2019s time.<\/p>\n

\"The
The availability of Uranium refuelling proved to be a sticking point for the Ford Nucleon. Combined of course with the possibility of multiple roadside apocalypses<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Predictions about the future of transport are usually wildly optimistic, but one early belief went the other way. In the 1820s the speed of steam locomotives such as Stephenson\u2019s Rocket started to exceed that of a galloping horse, the fastest speed sustained by man by that time. Many believed that travelling any faster would cause us to turn to mush, and that trains would never be able exceed around 40mph. In Britain, of course, this prediction turned out to be largely accurate, but for very different reasons.<\/p>\n

\"bird\"<\/figure>\n

And what is it about flying cars? Half of the predictions about the future of transport seem to involve them. Over 30 patents for flying cars have been filed in the United States alone; the first was the Curtiss Autoplane of 1917. The most credible was probably the Convaircar of 1947, a lightweight, streamlined coupe with a detachable wing and propeller unit that could be left at the landing strip, allowing the car to be driven as normal. Built by an established aviation firm and the work of Henry Dreyfuss, one of America\u2019s greatest industrial designers, the Convaircar completed several long test flights but later crashed. The bad publicity and high price – around $1500, plus wings – killed the project.<\/p>\n

\"flyers\"<\/figure>\n

That radioactive Ford was called the Nucleon: revealed in 1958 it had its own on-board nuclear reactor and was good for 5000 miles between uranium fill-ups. Quite what would happen in the event of a heavy shunt was never really examined. Other examples of future-gazing Ford silliness include the \u201961 Gyron, a two-wheel car balanced by a gyroscope, and the Leva Car, which was effectively a 500mph hovercraft with no brakes. Needless to say, neither actually functioned. The best-known Ford concept of the period is the \u201955 Lincoln Futura. Built by Italian coachbuilder Ghia and fully driveable, it was sold to Californian \u2018kustom-kar\u2019 builder George Barris and rotted in his yard for years before he painted it black and turned it into the Batmobile in \u201966.<\/p>\n

\"Harley
Harley Earl’s explorations at GM were hugely influential<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

But despite his self-deprecation, Harley Earl regularly almost got it right. His greatest concepts were the three Firebirds, shown between 1954 and \u201958. Like other designers of the jet-age Earl was obsessed with aircraft. Unlike the Convaircar the Firebirds couldn\u2019t actually fly, but they looked like they might; all had jet-style fuselages, gas turbine engines and Firebird III had seven fins and separate bubble canopies for driver and passenger. But in some respects these concepts really did predict the cars we drive today, with lightweight titanium bodies, keyless entry, rear reversing cameras and features that bear a remarkable similarity to modern sat-nav, I-drive and collision-avoidance systems.<\/p>\n

\"Mr
Mr Barris may have known how to pen a cool car, but his jackets rocked too<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The latest attempt to predict the future is the Government-commissioned Foresight report on transport in 2055. It sets out a series of different scenarios, which include everything from self-driving mobile offices to driverless buses we summon by PDA. Its gloomier predictions see a dystopian world in which journeys are rationed by carbon credits, and \u2018tribal\u2019 communities compete for energy resources after oil runs out, the banking system fails and society collapses. Maybe you ought to switch off your computer and go out for a drive, while you still can.<\/p>\n

But we\u2019d rather look to the future with a little of that fifties optimism. There\u2019s no question that the car will be forced to change quickly and radically, whether through excess carbon dioxide or insufficient oil. The race to find a replacement for petrol and diesel engines is being run right now, but it\u2019s a marathon rather than a sprint, and the new technologies that seem to be in front now might not even make the finishing line.<\/p>\n

\"Is
Is the Tesla Roadster an exciting glimpse of a potentially sustainable automotive future \u2013 or little more than a rich man’s trifle?<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

But we have been able to test all these competing new technologies, if only in prototype form in some cases, and they\u2019re mostly exciting. Take the Tesla Roadster, the all-electric supercar you can actually go out and buy now, albeit at an eye-watering six-figure price tag. It will out-drag some Ferraris and Lamborghinis to 60mph, its absurd, instant, warp-drive acceleration made to feel all the more Star-Trek by the silence in which it\u2019s produced.<\/p>\n

Or there\u2019s the Honda FCX Clarity, the world\u2019s first \u2018commercially-available\u2019 hydrogen fuel cell vehicle. It\u2019s a sexy, streamlined four-seat hatchback with a decent boot and a useful 270-mile range. 200 lucky customers will get to lease them, though at a very heavily subsidised rate: the tech is still too expensive to go on sale.<\/p>\n

\"1958-<\/figure>\n

But the cost is steadily declining, and when it comes down far enough for Honda to sell them alongside \u2013 or maybe instead of \u2013 its regular line-up by around 2020, we\u2019ll all get to experience the entirely new kind of driving pleasure it offers. It doesn\u2019t rely on noise or speed or image: it simply marries the same unconstrained mobility we enjoy now with the utterly guilt-free conscience that comes from emitting nothing but water from the tailpipe. And it\u2019s as silent as the Tesla; inner and outer peace combined.<\/p>\n

\"The
The future of motoring \u2013 or an ultra expensive dead-end?<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Will hydrogen be the fuel of the future<\/a>? We\u2019ll heed Harley\u2019s words, and won\u2019t make that prediction. But we\u2019ve been to the future, and can report back that it might not be as bad as some think.<\/p>\n

\"Star
Star Trek’s colourful imaginary inspired many an American vision of the automotive future<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ben Oliver know the pitfalls of predicting the automotive future<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1779,6],"tags":[2017,214,180,302,2787,229,2790,2786,304],"class_list":["post-9923","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-cars","category-features","tag-design","tag-electric","tag-electric-car","tag-electric-vehicles","tag-fuel-cell-vehicles","tag-future","tag-gas-turbine-vehicles","tag-hydrogen","tag-technology"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nCars of the Future | Influx magazine<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Cars of the future - we look at previous visions of the automotive future and see yesterday's future compares with reality. 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